Jessica Valenti Counting on Gender Card for Hillary 2016

by W.F. Price on January 27, 2014

Jessica Valenti reveals that the basis of decades of Democratic success at the polls is stoking divisions and exploiting them:

If Clinton runs again, it’s doubtful that we’ll see the same level of sexist vitriol against her. And that makes me, well, a little sad. If the misogyny flows as freely in 2016 as it did during Clinton’s first presidential run, the Republicans are doomed. They’re already in trouble with female voters, and it wouldn’t take much to erode that standing further. So bring on the Todd Akins, the “life’s a bitch, don’t vote for one” T-shirts, the knee-jerk Hillary haters. This time around, it will only make her stronger.

[...]

Online takedowns of misogyny play a huge part in women’s political lives — and their votes. Just recall Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.) and his comments about “legitimate rape.” Or the conservative smearing of Sandra Fluke after she was not allowed to testify at a House hearing on insurance coverage for birth control. Or when Rick Santorum donor Foster Friess suggested to MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell that “the gals” could just put aspirin “between their knees” as a form of birth control.

All these incidents drove the “war on women” rhetoric into the mainstream and influenced women’s votes in the 2012 election. A Gallup poll of 12 key swing states released shortly before the election showed that 60 percent of women said government policies on birth control would be extremely or very important in influencing their vote, and majorities of both men and women said Obama would “better handle” that issue.

“Every 2016 campaign will be run in an entirely new landscape, and that’s due in large part to the gains women have made politically since 2008, especially the gains made in 2012,” EMILY’s List President Stephanie Schriock told me. “Republicans voiced their extreme and offensive views, and voters, particularly women voters, responded with one of the largest gender gaps in our nation’s history.”

I’m skeptical about Hillary Clinton, largely because Jessica Valenti is missing the big picture. Valenti, you see, is another white Northeastern elite, and therefore a member of a relatively small minority. Given that roughly 60% of white people don’t vote Democrat (including 56% of white females), and people like Valenti represent something like half of those who do (probably somewhat less), we’re only talking about 6-8% of the population in the hardcore Hillary demographic (white liberal females) at best. Granted, they are probably a little more highly represented among voting adults, bringing them up to 10% or so. That’s very important, but it’s dwarfed by minorities, who turned out in huge numbers for Obama. Somehow, I doubt these minorities will be as excited about Hillary Clinton, who is an old, white elite, as they were about Obama.

The “gender gap” in the latest presidential election was actually smaller for whites than it was during the Clinton and Bush years, despite the fact that “gender” was much more of an issue in the press. The gender gap was largest for Latinos, probably due to the relative poverty and high rate of single mommery in the female Hispanic demographic contingent. Feminism is not an entirely spent political force, but it is rapidly being eclipsed by race, and as the US edges toward majority nonwhite demographics, the process will accelerate. White women, aside from the tiny upper class (of which Valenti is sadly a member), will find themselves shut out of the spoils system, and they are not so stupid as to vote against their personal interests. Instead of a permanent Democratic majority of everyone against the middle-class white men, the US will take on a more Southern-style voting pattern, in which ethnic groups compete at the ballot box for advantages.

I don’t know what point we’ll be at by 2016, but my bet is that gender politics will already have started to clearly take a back seat to race by that time. This means that Clinton will have to choose between favoring minorities or white women. If she chooses white women, she’ll get a somewhat larger share of their vote (although how much is questionable), but her losses among minorities due to lack of enthusiasm/hostility may more than offset that. It’s a tough spot for Hillary, so I’m not sure she would be the best candidate. In fact, I think a white male married to a black woman, like Bill de Blasio, would probably have a better shot than Hillary (a white female married to a black male would have problems for obvious reasons — black women are not particularly big fans of that).

My prediction is that by 2016 – 2020 at latest – we’ll see minorities emerge as a true credible national party constituency in their own right, with or without white women. White liberals will be older and less important, and the US will be essentially split into two camps on the basis of ethnicity — not sex. It’s a change I’m not entirely averse to, because it’s about time for white elites to put their money where their mouths are and take a back seat to the minorities who form the backbone of their support.

{ 21 comments… read them below or add one }

geographybeefinalisthimself January 27, 2014 at 14:41

In fact, I think a white male married to a black woman, like Bill de Blasio, would probably have a better shot than Hillary (a white female married to a black male would have problems for obvious reasons — black women are not particularly big fans of that).

It should be noted that Bill de Blasio’s wife, Chirlane McCray, puts the Democrats in a massive bind because she says that she was able to quit lesbianism cold turkey. Democrats usually accuse Republicans of being the ones who say that gays and lesbians can walk away from homosexuality (Republicans often saying that this can be done via ex-gay ministries), but it has become painfully obvious that Democrats can’t handle it when one of their own says that homosexuality can be renounced like smoking.

Well-loved. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 19 Thumb down 0
keyster January 27, 2014 at 15:27

Can’t say for sure if Hillary will even run – her health, Bill’s health, Obamacare effect, etc. – if she doesn’t think she can win. Then you have perhaps Joe Biden, who fits nicely into the old-dumb-white-male role, like McCain, Dole, Mitt, etc. – sacrificial lamb.

The GOP needs to stop commenting on women’s sexual lives and psychology. Only Democrats can do that. And while women will still vote mostly Democrat, they may be less inclined to vote for an old woman like Hillary who’s tired, spent and dated as an icon. ie – She’s just not cool anymore, and will be quite less so by 2016.

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continent January 27, 2014 at 18:49

http://abcnews.go.com/Health/kansas-sperm-donor-ordered-pay-child-support/story?id=21657212
What good is a contract if court can reverse it?

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Szebran January 27, 2014 at 19:01

Valenti is a female chauvinist (in otherwords she is a feminist). She wants to see herself in the mirror.
The feminist media will do whatever it takes to get Empress Clinton elected. TIME currently has an article titled ~”Can Anyone Stop Hillary”. I didnt read it. I saw it while standing in line at Walmart.
I guarantee you the feminist media (ABCNews, CBS, NBCNews, TIME, CNN etc) will be promoting her “leadership” while at the same time discredit any other potential presidential candidate. I’m sure they will even make up fraudulent stories about her presidential opponents.
BTW here’s a blog that states Hillary is currently violating federal election law.
http://thoughtsofamascman.blogspot.com/2014/01/you-can-stop-hillary-from-becoming.html

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Survivorman January 27, 2014 at 19:39

54 % of American voters are female, and female voters make decisions based on “what feels right” at the time. IOW – they are easily manipulated.

I submit, gentlemen, that we are doomed..

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Troll King January 27, 2014 at 20:49

WF, where do you get this 6% number? Seems to me that it is actually a lot higher.

Either way, it seems to me that one of the big problems isn’t so much dem v rep but instead male v. female. I look around me and see quite a few young millennial and later gen x women and many profess to be traditional or conservative, even if they are somewhat liberal or a registered dem or even a socialist….think of the women interested in organic gardens and canning or making etsy crafts or the homecooked food movement, but the problem is that they are really feminists in anti-feminist clothes. PMAFT has a few good articles on afinos, Anti-Feminist In Name Only women.

All it will take is for either side to push a pro-woman and anti-male interest, whether abortion or single mother subsidies or whatever, for many of those women to become turncoats to mens interests.

Hell, just turn on fox news for a few hours and you see plenty of blondes bashing the left but they sure as hell won’t stand up for men’s interests.

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TFH January 27, 2014 at 21:38

and they are not so stupid as to vote against their personal interests.

Wanna bet?

The ‘feminism’ they vote for already has made them unhappier than the women of 1960.

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Paul Murray January 27, 2014 at 23:46

Bleeding heart democrats will never vote for Obama’s Secretary of State, responsible for illegal wars, bombings, you name it.

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epoche* January 27, 2014 at 23:55

Instead of a permanent Democratic majority of everyone against the middle-class white men, the US will take on a more Southern-style voting pattern, in which ethnic groups compete at the ballot box for advantages.
————————————————–
I dont see signs yet of this ice cracking yet. The only thing the current paradigm can agree on is the wretchedness of white males. It will be interesting to see how things play out when the current of white women realize that they have to work themselves to death like men have had to for thousands of years to support many things they dont benefit from.

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Anonymous Reader January 28, 2014 at 08:11

Paul Murray
Bleeding heart democrats will never vote for Obama’s Secretary of State, responsible for illegal wars, bombings, you name it.

Piffle. Good members of the Party always vote the Party line, no matter what. Anyone who fails to do so is no longer a good Party member.

“Eurasia has always been at war with Eastasia…” and don’t you forget it, until such time as you are told to do so.

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shiva1008 January 28, 2014 at 08:28

Sexist? Misogynist? These are outdated terms that don’t carry any punch anymore. I NEVER hear these terms used in everyday conversation, because people know better now than to ignite a firestorm. They know they can’t get away with it anymore like they used to, at least around me. And that’s without me saying a word, just by not acquiescing to PC. I think most girls who want to be popular wouldn’t be caught dead using these terms in a public gathering. It just makes them look like a homely bitter extremist 1990′s cynical feminist shrew with horn-rimmed glasses.

OT: Haven’t seen this brought up in the Dark Enlight-o-sphere, but presidential hopeful Mike Huckabee is now using manosphere/DE talking points:

The controversy began with Huckabee’s comments at the Republican National Committee luncheon Thursday, where he attacked Democrats’ “War on Women” rhetoric, arguing Republicans do not have a “war on women,” but a “war for women – for them to be empowered to be something other than victims of their gender.”

He went on to use language that many have questioned.

“If the Democrats want to insult the women of America by making them believe that they are helpless without Uncle Sugar coming in and providing them a prescription each month for birth control because they cannot control their libido or their reproductive system without the help of the government, then so be it,” he said Thursday.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2014/01/25/huckabee-defends-comments-as-miley-cyrus-cosmo-weigh-in/

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Ricky Vaughn January 28, 2014 at 09:11

Black people love Hillary Clinton – Obama had to win over black people because so many of them distrusted Obama (not even a descendant of slaves with his white mother and Kenyan father) and loved Bill Clinton.

Wapo Here

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CyberSlater January 28, 2014 at 10:46

…..a white female married to a black male would have problems for obvious reasons — black women are not particularly big fans of that….
===============

That’s because black women are more racist than the KKK. It’s just that their brand of racism is against whites instead of blacks.

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Anderson Davies January 28, 2014 at 14:34

“Women have always been the primary victims of war.
Women lose their husbands, their fathers, their sons in combat”

This is all I need to know about Shillary.

Sometimes I wish I had dual citizenship so I could vote in the US election.

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Vektor January 28, 2014 at 16:02

I predict Hillary will make her candidacy specifically about a ‘crusade of justice for women’. She will use this to try to appeal to women across racial and economic lines. The traditional media will do everything in its power to help her. Their bias will be blatant and unapologetic. Expect the word ‘misogynist’ to be used so much it becomes trite.

Another consideration is the level of dependence out there that has festered and grown under Obama. The number of people on welfare, food stamps, disability, etc., has exploded. Hillary will promise them all, especially the legions of single moms, unlimited resources. I could see the collapse happening under her administration.

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GT66 January 28, 2014 at 19:16

Is it me or does Hillary Clinton look a little more dessicated every time she appears in public? Is *anyone* in her circle telling her not to eat those silica packets that come in the box with the shoes she buys? At this rate, by 2016 she’ll be little more than a dried piece of jerky with a bad hair-doo.

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GT66 January 28, 2014 at 19:23

Anderson Davies ” Sometimes I wish I had dual citizenship so I could vote in the US election.”

Oh you funny, naïve foreigner. In the US you don’t even have to be alive to vote.

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SF January 28, 2014 at 23:32

She would be the second oldest president at inauguration, 69 years, 86 days. The oldest president got Alzheimer’s in office, and the currently second oldest died shortly after inauguration. Tabloids keep bringing up the brain tumor issue. She isn’t very likeable, and not very photogenic. But if she is nominated, I would give her a 50-50 chance of election. Even though it should be a Republican year, that party has a way of shooting itself in the foot.

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chinesefootsoldier January 29, 2014 at 10:47

Notice how the liberals never bring up any good reasons why Hillary should be president? Her accomplishments are what, exactly?

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GT66 January 29, 2014 at 17:03

chinesefootsoldier “Notice how the liberals never bring up any good reasons why Hillary should be president? Her accomplishments are what, exactly?”

Supposedly, she had a vagina at some point. That’s good enough for “progressive” liberal equalists to consider her qualified to be president.

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dire badger January 29, 2014 at 23:53

It is vital to the coming revolution that a liberal woman be i.n office.that way no one will be surprised when the country self destructs.
I am voting for Hillary in 2016.a vote for Hillary it’s a vote for bankruptcy! Whoo hoo!!

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